Census Triggers Shift In Congressional Seats, And Some States Are Gearing Up For A Fight

U.S. Census materials received in the mail with an invitation to fill out census information in March 2020. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

WASHINGTON — The preliminary results of the 2020 United States census are in, revealing shifts in population growth away from the Northeast and Rust Belt regions to the South and West since the last survey in 2010 — and that means changes in Congress and the Electoral College.

While some of this population shift was expected, Sun Belt states Texas, Arizona and Florida were expected to gain more, and New Yorkers were surprised at losing a congressional seat by just 89 people.

Required by the U.S. Constitution every decade since 1790, the 2020 census was besieged by challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic to nationwide Black Lives Matter protests.

Despite pauses in door-to-door census collection due to the pandemic, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed the Donald J. Trump administration to end data collection two weeks early, which they said would allow the Census Bureau to meet the Dec. 31 counting deadline.

On top of that, Trump’s effort to include a citizenship question on the census has led some to question whether Latinos were undercounted in some states.

After delays in the count, the initial results were released to the public on April 26.

Supporters of then-President Donald J. Trump rally down New York City’s Fifth Avenue from Trump Tower to Times Square on the day the Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration to shut down the 2020 Census count ahead of schedule. (David Dee Delgado/Getty Images)

“The 2020 census took a snapshot of all people living in the United States on April 1, 2020 and the results are in,” Ron S. Jasmin, the acting director of the U.S. Census Bureau, said at a news conference. “The number of people living in the United States was 331,449, 281. This represents an increase of 7.4 percent from the 2010 census.”

Jasmin said the South had the fastest growing population, with 10 percent increase since 2010, followed by the West (a 9.2 percent increase), the Northeast (4.1 percent) and the Midwest (3.1 percent). Utah, with an 18.4 percent increase, was the fastest growing state in the country, he said, while Washington, D.C., grew by 14.2 percent.

The changes in population will trigger reapportionment of seats in the House of Representatives and Electoral College, which selects the president. Texas gains two new seats, while Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina and Oregon gain one.

Meanwhile, California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia will each lose a seat. The remaining states will stand unchanged.

Among the winners are Republican-leaning Texas, which added 4 million new residents since 2010 and will have 38 congressional representatives and 40 Electoral College votes, as well as Florida, which added more than 2.7 million new residents and will now claim 28 congressional representatives and 30 electoral votes.

The biggest losers include the Democrat stronghold of New York, which will lose a congressional seat and Electoral College vote. The state was just 89 people short of keeping the seats, despite growing from 19.37 to 20.2 million people since 2010.

 A 2020 Census pamphlet is included in a box distributed by the Los Angeles Regional Food Bank in August 2020 to people facing economic insecurity amid the pandemic in Paramount, California. (Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Democratic New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said Tuesday he would direct state Attorney General Letitia A. James to explore legal options to contest the count.

“Census takers in New York faced unprecedented challenges last year in their efforts to get New Yorkers counted – from the pandemic’s effect on the mail system to the Trump Administration’s xenophobic, flagrant, and illegal efforts to hurt blue states by discouraging non-citizens and people of color from being counted,” Cuomo said in a statement.

Melanie Campbell, the president of the National Coalition of Black Civic Participation, said the 2020 census showed a continuing trend of people moving South. But she said she had concerns that growth could be compromised by new restrictions on voting rights there.

“You have a backlash taking place in a lot of these states with partisan attacks on voting rights,” Campbell said, calling for more federal oversight of state voting laws.

“In Texas, there are a large number of blacks and Latinos moving into the state and this shows why we need the Voting Rights Act reinforced because it would make it harder to use partisan politics without some element of being fair,” she said.

Steven Dillingham, then the director of the Census Bureau, points to a picture of Alaska as he unveils the advertising campaign for the Census in January 2020 in Washington, DC. (Mark Wilson/Getty Images)

However, Rep. Byron L. Donalds (R-Fla.) applauded the changes on Twitter, writing that “Florida is booming under Republican leadership –– people are fleeing liberal, poorly-run, lockdown states.”

The extra congressional seats were a deserved reward, he said.

Rep. Donald’s director of communications, Harrison Fields, told Zenger News that the congressman rejected that the reapportionment process could impact voting rights.

“This has nothing to do with undermining Democracy, this is a testimony to certain states being more attractive to live in,” Fields said.

“New York and California are losing people because of the high cost of living.”

In any case, there will be lasting — if subtle — changes to the U.S. political landscape.

In last year’s election, Trump won four of the six states that will increase their delegations in the House and Electoral College. The winner of the election, President Joseph R. Biden, Jr., meanwhile, won five of the seven states that lost seats.

Each of the impacted states now also has to redraw the boundaries of their House districts to account for the changed numbers, moves that are sure to spark ferocious battles between Democrats and Republicans over where to draw the lines.

(Edited by Alex Willemyns and Kristen Butler)



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